Showing posts with label Man Group. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Man Group. Show all posts

Friday, 5 October 2012

Latest stories on HFI

FRM’s Current Preferred Hedge Fund Strategies
In its latest outlook, FRM, Man Group’s $19.5 billion fund of hedge funds and managed accounts business,  identifies three potential sources of return for hedge funds. The preferences that FRM expresses are based on a specific market outlook.


Cautious Welcome For JOBS Act Proposals
New rules under the proposed JOBS Act are expected to bring dramatic changes to the marketing of hedge funds in the United States.

If there are no such things as coincidences then this dialectic was meant to be seen.  Two opposing views on the oil price came into "Hedge Fund Insight" with 24 hours. Take a read and take a view.


 
Oil Price To Continue Rising
Says Angelos Damaskos, CEO Sector Investment Managers - read his case here.

Oil Faces Risk Of New 2012 Low
Says Stephen Pope, Managing Partner of Spotlight Ideas - read his case here.


Gold Miners To Outperform Gold
It was quite surprising how well the gold view worked over the last weeks. Obviously, it was greatly supported by the major financial powers of this world. Firstly Mr. Draghi with the announcement of the “unlimited” purchase of government bonds in the Euro-Zone followed by Mr. Bernanke who announced a further disguised QE3 which focuses on the purchase of MBS to the tune of 40 billion US-Dollar.

Physical gold did make the move and begins to tackle the former resistance levels around 1800 followed by 1900. The whole focus continues on gold as investors are assessing the real impact of the money printing on both sides of the Atlantic. However, there are more forgotten sides to the gold trade which are not in the limelight of investors.


Mr Bernanke Goes For Broke
By Stephen Lewis, Chief Economist, Monument Securities

At his press conference yesterday following the FOMC meeting, Mr Bernanke was intent on pointing out that monetary policy is no panacea.  This has been his constant refrain recently, a plea for clemency perhaps in any judgment of the Federal Reserve’s limited success in meeting the terms of its mandate.  Yet, the Bernanke-led Fed continues to act as though it still believes monetary policy alone can turn round the US economy and restore it to full employment.  That is the logic of the FOMC’s decision, should the labour market not improve substantially, to ‘continue its purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), undertake additional asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate until such improvement is achieved in the context of price stability’.  This statement presupposes that Fed asset purchases will eventually bring about the desired strengthening in the labour market.  The FOMC does not countenance a situation where the Fed might continue its asset purchases until the cows come home, without achieving the substantial improvement in labour market conditions that it seeks.  Yet, this is a scenario that those who monitor the Fed’s actions increasingly regard as plausible, if not probable.

Tuesday, 1 May 2012

Man Group Quarterly Figures – Still Minor Outflows


Man Group Plc announced first quarter 2012 figures today.
31 March 2012 FUM of $59.0bn which represents a 1.0% increase quarter on quarter:
  • 31 Dec 2011 AUM: $58.4bn (as previously reported)
  • Net outflows: $1.0bn
  • Investment movement: $2.0bn
  • FX & other: -$0.4bn 
31 March 2012 FUM by product line:
  • Guaranteed: $9.1bn
  • Open-ended alternative: $25.0bn
  • Institutional FOF: $12.4bn
  • Long only: $12.5bn
There was a net outflow from alternative funds of $1.4 billion and a net inflow of $0.4 billion into long only styles.

Sales of open-ended alternatives were $1.7 billion and redemptions were $2.6 billion. Within this category, AHL had net outflows of $0.7 billion, driven mainly by continuing redemptions from Nomura Global Trend. GLG Alternatives recorded a small net outflow of $0.2 billion, with strong flows into the European long/short style offset by small outflows across a range of other strategies.
 
Performance fees: three-quarters of performance fee eligible GLG FUM at or within 5% of high water mark at end March. Man AHL 14% from peak on a weighted average basis.
Balance sheet: net cash of approximately $250m (down from $573m at 31 Dec). Surplus regulatory capital unchanged at $550m.
Outlook: reduced redemptions but sentiment remains fragile. Yet to see an increase in sales. More de-gearing anticipated - $0.4bn on 1 April and $0.6 on 1 May.
Valuation: Man trades at 5.8x 2012E EBITDA and at 9.8x 2012E adjusted diluted EPS.

Thursday, 29 July 2010

Replication out at AHL

The FINalternatives website carried a story from Financial News on AHL this week:


“The Man Group’s flagship AHL strategy has seen eight employees, including its lead algorithmic trading technologist and an academic hedge fund-replication specialist, leave the firm.


“Chetan Kotwal, the technologist, and Helder Palaro, the hedge fund-replication expert, have both left Man. Another academic, Harry Kat, has also left, along with five other more junior employees: researchers Yochen Maydt and Steven Piron, traders Tom Ryan and Rebecca Aston, analyst Will England and algorithmic trading systems developer.”


The news is interesting that AHL were seeking to build a hedge fund return replication capability. Parent Man Group sold lots of product which combined the AHL Fund with other Man Group single-manager or multi-manager fund products. The guaranteed funds were often a combination of AHL with fund of funds Glenwood. Glenwood returns were never fantastic, so eventually other funds were tried in combination with AHL, and Glenwood was subsumed into Man Glenwood.


Has AHL been working on hedge fund replication strategies to enable Man Group to offer AHL in a guaranteed product in combination with industry typical returns? If so it would not reflect well on the confidence of Man Group management in other in-house managers, either single manager or multi-manager.


As long ago as 2006 Dutch academic Harry Kat suggested that investors who wanted higher returns from hedge fund investments should fire their overpaid fund managers and replicate the funds themselves using mechanical futures trading strategies. At that time his research suggested that the synthetic funds he and Helder Palaro designed would have outperformed real funds of hedge funds 82% of the time. Kat’s prediction then was that the alternative investment market would move rapidly away from active management over the following 10 years, and synthetic hedge funds would represent around 40% of the market by 2016.


It will be interesting to hear whether actual capital invested in hedge fund replication strategies have outperformed funds of hedge funds 82% of the time since 2006, and particularly in the last two years.


Please use the comment fields below to provide an answer and I will moderate an informed discussion.